About the decline
1/ Teacher Da's put call and VIX - On the 10th, I saw Teacher Da @octopusycc looking at his phone and telling everyone that the "put call" was wrong, leading to a market waterfall an hour later. Besides learning from MM's great article, there are two other indicators: 1) "put wall" - a value wall constructed by market makers and retail investors, which shows where multi-period puts are located and which positions have built a massive liquidity area. By the end of October, the call wall and put wall were roughly at 125,000 and 110,000, but the amount is currently around 500 million USD, while this number was 3 billion USD before the market crash. 2) VIX - Volatility Index, generally speaking, the larger the VIX, the greater the volatility and panic, and on October 8, Teacher Da pointed out that VIX positions had tripled. To learn about prior indicators, I have joined Teacher Da's camp and explored CoinGlass's products, which are very impressive.
@AlbertCoinGlass
2/ Reflecting on a few days ago, when I saw the news about 200 million in short positions, my first reaction was that I seemed to lack enough information to make a judgment on the market, so I decided to wait. In the future, I will maintain absolute respect for the large insider traders appearing in the hyperliquid and polymarket.
3/ Is MM's setback making the altcoin season more difficult? Just looking at the perception of the rebound, BNB has further ascended to the mainstream, while some public chain altcoins are still catching up, except for privacy coins.
4/ ENA and LUNA. Personally, I believe ENA is not equal to LUNA: UST was attacked by liquidity on-chain, while USDe was de-pegged due to liquidation in the loop. Using LUNA as collateral is the original sin; theoretically, ENA's situation could happen with any decentralized stablecoin, serving as a warning for yield products and Cedefi.
5/ Is the prediction market a middle ground between spot and futures? @forrest mentioned that one can play the prediction market without taking futures, which indeed has larger odds and avoids liquidation. However, if one bets on an event without a spot reference, I don't know how to hedge... Seeking methods to break even.
Show original27.69K
55
The content on this page is provided by third parties. Unless otherwise stated, OKX is not the author of the cited article(s) and does not claim any copyright in the materials. The content is provided for informational purposes only and does not represent the views of OKX. It is not intended to be an endorsement of any kind and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell digital assets. To the extent generative AI is utilized to provide summaries or other information, such AI generated content may be inaccurate or inconsistent. Please read the linked article for more details and information. OKX is not responsible for content hosted on third party sites. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.