Can anyone tell me why this isn't a great bet?
You can 5x the money on buying "Yes" that Monad will airdrop before October 31st on @Polymarket.
They already teased that the claim will open on Tuesday, the 14th.
No way it's less than 80% probability for this, or?
One thing to note, though, and that makes me a bit cautious, is that this market has $6m in volume, which is 6x more than the next pre-market on the list for crypto on Poymarket. Could something have been leaked? Does someone know that the airdrop will be later? An Eigenlayer style airdrop with claim opening and then a 6-month cliff?
My thoughts on the Monad token market on @Polymarket
On October 8th, @monad posted that the claim was “coming soon”
That same day, the odds shot up to 62%, but with no follow-up news, we dropped back down to 17%
There’s still plenty of time left in the month and plenty of posts from them coming too
I’ll be trading around those posts
Because any decent announcement could easily pump us 30–40% (my guess), which is already a solid x2–3 profit opportunity
Whether you follow or not is up to you, I’m just sharing what I’m doing
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